Overall Statistics Total Trades16Average Win0%Average Loss-1.50%Compounding Annual Return-77.267%Drawdown89.500%Expectancy-1Net Profit-77.359%Sharpe Ratio-0.458Loss Rate100%Win Rate0%Profit-Loss Ratio0Alpha-0.226Beta-18.939Annual Standard Deviation1.17Annual Variance1.368Information Ratio-0.472Tracking Error1.17Treynor Ratio0.028Total Fees\$16.00
```import numpy as np
import datetime
from scipy import stats

### <summary>
### Basic template algorithm simply initializes the date range and cash. This is a skeleton
### framework you can use for designing an algorithm.
### </summary>
class StocksOnTheMove(QCAlgorithm):
'''Basic template algorithm simply initializes the date range and cash'''

def Initialize(self):
'''Initialise the data and resolution required, as well as the cash and start-end dates for your algorithm. All algorithms must initialized.'''

#self.SetBrokerageModel(BrokerageName.InteractiveBrokersBrokerage)
self.Portfolio.MarginCallModel = MarginCallModel.Null
self.SetStartDate(2008,1,1)  #Set Start Date
self.SetEndDate(2009,1,1)    #Set End Date
self.SetCash(10000)           #Set Strategy Cash
# Find more symbols here: http://quantconnect.com/data

# what resolution should the data *added* to the universe be?
self.UniverseSettings.Resolution = Resolution.Minute
# How many stocks in the starting universe?
self.__numberOfSymbols = 20

# How many stocks in the portfolio?
self.number_stocks = 5

# this add universe method accepts two parameters:

# How far back are we looking for momentum?
self.momentum_period = 20

# Schedule Indicator Update, Ranking + Rebal
self.Schedule.On(self.DateRules.EveryDay("SPY"),
self.TimeRules.AfterMarketOpen("SPY", 30),
Action(self.rebalance))

self.Schedule.On(self.DateRules.EveryDay("SPY"),
self.TimeRules.AfterMarketOpen("SPY", 0),
Action(self.UpdateIndicators))

# Set Risk Factor for position sizing
self.risk_factor = 0.001

# Set empty list for universe
self.universe = []

# Set empty dictionary for managing & ranking the slope
self.indicators_r2 = {}

self.last_month_fired_coarse    = None #we cannot rely on Day==1 like before
self.last_month_fired_rebalance = None #we cannot rely on Day==1 like before

def UpdateIndicators(self):

# This updates the indicators at each data step
for symbol in self.universe:

# is symbol iin Slice object? (do we even have data on this step for this asset)
if self.Securities.ContainsKey(symbol):
# Update the dictionary for the indicator
if symbol in self.indicators_r2:
self.indicators_r2[symbol].update(self.Securities[symbol].Price)

# Run a coarse selection filter for starting universe
def CoarseSelectionFunction(self, coarse):

today = self.Time
#self.Log("Day = {} Month = {}".format(today.day,today.month))

# Set the Universe to rebalance on the 1st day of each quarter (can play around with this as required)
if self.last_month_fired_coarse != today.month and (today.month == 1 or today.month == 4 or today.month == 7 or today.month == 10):
self.last_month_fired_coarse = today.month

self.Log("Day = {} Month = {}".format(today.day,today.month))

CoarseWithFundamental = [x for x in coarse if x.HasFundamentalData]
sortedByDollarVolume = sorted(CoarseWithFundamental, key=lambda x: x.DollarVolume, reverse=True)
result = [ x.Symbol for x in sortedByDollarVolume[:self.__numberOfSymbols] ]
self.universe = result
return self.universe
else:
return self.universe

def OnSecuritiesChanged(self, changes):

# Delete indicator from the dict to save Ram
for security in changes.RemovedSecurities:
if security.Symbol in self.indicators_r2:
del self.indicators_r2[security.Symbol]
self.Liquidate(security.Symbol)

# Init a new custom indicator
self.indicators_r2[security.Symbol] = RegressionSlope(self, security.Symbol, self.momentum_period,  Resolution.Daily)

def rebalance(self):

today = self.Time
if self.last_month_fired_rebalance != self.last_month_fired_coarse:
# ensure we are fireing after coarse
self.last_month_fired_rebalance = self.last_month_fired_coarse

self.Log("Rebalance")

# get values from dict
symbols, slopes = zip(*[(symbol, self.indicators_r2[symbol].value) for symbol in self.indicators_r2])

# sort
idx_sorted = np.argsort(slopes)[::-1] # [::-1] slices backwards i.e. flips to reverse the sort order
symbols =np.array(symbols)[idx_sorted]
slopes = np.array(slopes)[idx_sorted]

# Sort the Dictionary from highest to lowest and take the top values
self.target_portfolio = symbols
self.Log(str(self.target_portfolio))

# Enter or exit positions
for symbol in self.universe:

# Case: invested in the current symbol
if self.Portfolio[symbol].HoldStock:
# Exit if not a target aset
if symbol not in self.target_portfolio:
self.Liquidate(symbol)
elif symbol in self.target_portfolio:
continue

# Case: not invested in the current symbol
else:
# symbol is a target, enter position
if symbol in self.target_portfolio:
# Update ATR for the stock in the new dictionary

self.Log("{} {} {}".format(symbol, self.Securities[symbol].Price, self.indicators_r2[symbol].value))

# Send Orders
self.SetHoldings(symbol, 1./float(self.number_stocks))

class RegressionSlope():

def __init__(self, algo, symbol, window, resolution):
# set up params of per-asset rolling metric calculation
self.symbol = symbol
self.window = window
self.resolution = resolution

# download the window. Prob not great to drag algo scope in here. Could get outside and pass in.
self.history = algo.History([symbol], window, self.resolution).close.values

# calulate the metrics for the current window
self.compute()

def update(self, value):
# update history, retain length
self.history = np.append(self.history, float(value))[1:]

# calulate the metrics for the current window
self.compute()

def compute(self):
# copied from previous
x = np.arange(len(self.history))
log_ts = np.log(self.history)
slope, intercept, r_value, p_value, std_err = stats.linregress(x, log_ts)
annualized_slope = (np.power(np.exp(slope), 250) - 1) * 100
annualized_slope = annualized_slope * (r_value ** 2)

# update value
self.value = annualized_slope```