| Overall Statistics |
|
Total Trades 5 Average Win 7.97% Average Loss -11.27% Compounding Annual Return -0.353% Drawdown 19.500% Expectancy -0.146 Net Profit -6.677% Sharpe Ratio -0.059 Probabilistic Sharpe Ratio 0.000% Loss Rate 50% Win Rate 50% Profit-Loss Ratio 0.71 Alpha -0.002 Beta 0.001 Annual Standard Deviation 0.037 Annual Variance 0.001 Information Ratio -0.375 Tracking Error 0.174 Treynor Ratio -1.883 Total Fees $11.89 |
using QuantConnect.Data.Custom.USTreasury;
namespace QuantConnect.Algorithm.CSharp
{
public class USTreasuryYieldCurveAlgorithm : QCAlgorithm
{
private Symbol _yieldCurve;
private Symbol _spy;
private DateTime _lastInversion = DateTime.MinValue;
public override void Initialize()
{
SetStartDate(2000, 3, 1);
SetEndDate(2019, 9, 15);
SetCash(100000);
_spy = AddEquity("SPY", Resolution.Hour).Symbol;
_yieldCurve = AddData<USTreasuryYieldCurveRate>("USTYCR").Symbol;
// Request 60 days of history with the USTreasuryYieldCurveRate custom data Symbol.
var history = History<USTreasuryYieldCurveRate>(_yieldCurve, 60, Resolution.Daily);
// Count the number of items we get from our history request
Debug($"We got {history.Count()} items from our history request");
}
public override void OnData(Slice data)
{
if (!data.ContainsKey(_yieldCurve))
{
return;
}
// Preserve null values by getting the data with `slice.Get<T>`
// Accessing the data using `data[_yieldCurve]` results in null
// values becoming `default(decimal)` which is equal to 0
var rates = data.Get<USTreasuryYieldCurveRate>().Values.First();
// Check for null before using the values
if (!rates.TenYear.HasValue || !rates.TwoYear.HasValue)
{
return;
}
// Only advance if a year has gone by
if (Time - _lastInversion < TimeSpan.FromDays(365))
{
return;
}
// if there is a yield curve inversion after not having one for a year, short SPY for two years
if (!Portfolio.Invested && rates.TwoYear > rates.TenYear)
{
Debug($"{Time} - Yield curve inversion! Shorting the market for two years");
SetHoldings(_spy, -0.5);
_lastInversion = Time;
return;
}
// If two years have passed, liquidate our position in SPY
if (Time - _lastInversion >= TimeSpan.FromDays(365 * 2))
{
Liquidate(_spy);
}
}
}
}