| Overall Statistics |
|
Total Trades 189 Average Win 1.47% Average Loss -1.39% Compounding Annual Return 0.138% Drawdown 38.200% Expectancy 0.036 Net Profit 0.523% Sharpe Ratio 0.097 Loss Rate 50% Win Rate 50% Profit-Loss Ratio 1.05 Alpha 0.034 Beta -0.959 Annual Standard Deviation 0.181 Annual Variance 0.033 Information Ratio 0.004 Tracking Error 0.181 Treynor Ratio -0.018 Total Fees $1543.04 |
from clr import AddReference
AddReference("System")
AddReference("QuantConnect.Algorithm")
AddReference("QuantConnect.Indicators")
AddReference("QuantConnect.Common")
from System import *
from QuantConnect import *
from QuantConnect.Data import *
from QuantConnect.Algorithm import *
from QuantConnect.Indicators import *
from System.Collections.Generic import List
import decimal as d
import numpy as np
import time
from datetime import datetime
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats
import pandas as pd
class AFCMOM(QCAlgorithm):
'''Basic template algorithm simply initializes the date range and cash'''
def Initialize(self):
'''Initialise the data and resolution required, as well as the cash and start-end dates for your algorithm. All algorithms must initialized.'''
self.first = -1
self.bi_weekly = 0
self.SetStartDate(2006,1,1)
self.SetEndDate(2009,1,1)
self.SetCash(100000)
self.SetBrokerageModel(BrokerageName.InteractiveBrokersBrokerage, AccountType.Margin)
self.spy = self.AddEquity("SPY", Resolution.Daily).Symbol
self.AddUniverse(self.CoarseSelectionFunction,self.FineSelectionFunction)
self.UniverseSettings.Resolution = Resolution.Daily
self.spy_200_sma = self.SMA("SPY",200,Resolution.Daily)
self.Schedule.On(self.DateRules.Every(DayOfWeek.Wednesday,DayOfWeek.Wednesday), \
self.TimeRules.At(12, 0), \
Action(self.rebalnce))
self.stocks_to_trade = []
self.SetWarmUp(201)
self.splotName = 'Strategy Info'
sPlot = Chart(self.splotName)
sPlot.AddSeries(Series('Leverage', SeriesType.Line, 0))
self.AddChart(sPlot)
def OnData(self, data):
#if self.IsWarmingUp: return
# assuming daily mode,dont chart in a smaller res and kill quota
self.account_leverage = self.Portfolio.TotalAbsoluteHoldingsCost / self.Portfolio.TotalPortfolioValue
self.Plot(self.splotName,'Leverage', float(self.account_leverage))
def CoarseSelectionFunction(self, coarse):
filtered_stocks = filter(lambda x: x.DollarVolume >250000,coarse)
filtered_stocks = filter(lambda x: x.HasFundamentalData,filtered_stocks)
filtered_stocks = filter(lambda x: x.Price >=20,filtered_stocks)
filtered_stocks = filtered_stocks[:100]
return [stock.Symbol for stock in filtered_stocks]
def FineSelectionFunction(self, fine):
filtered_stocks = filter(lambda x: x.SecurityReference.IsPrimaryShare,fine)
return [stock.Symbol for stock in filtered_stocks]
def OnSecuritiesChanged(self, changes):
dt = datetime(self.Time.year,self.Time.month,self.Time.day)
if dt.weekday() != 3 or self.Securities[self.spy].Price < self.spy_200_sma.Current.Value:
return
# manage stocks_to_trade(add and remove items)
for security in changes.RemovedSecurities:
# update stocks_to_trade list
if security.Symbol in self.stocks_to_trade:
self.stocks_to_trade.remove(security.Symbol)
if security.Invested:
self.Liquidate(security.Symbol)
for security in changes.AddedSecurities:
#security.MarginModel = PatternDayTradingMarginModel()
if security.Symbol not in self.stocks_to_trade:
self.stocks_to_trade.append(security.Symbol)
if self.stocks_to_trade:
for stock in self.stocks_to_trade:
ATR = self.my_ATR(stock,14)
self.stocks_to_trade.sort(key = lambda x: self.get_slope(stock,90),reverse= True)
maximum_range = int(round(len(self.stocks_to_trade) * 0.10))
self.stocks_to_trade[:maximum_range]
cash = float(self.Portfolio.Cash)
oo = len(self.Transactions.GetOpenOrders(stock))
if self.Securities[stock].Price >self.moving_average(stock,100) and not self.gapper(stock,90) and cash >0 and not oo:
self.SetHoldings(stock,self.weight(stock,ATR))
def rebalnce(self):
self.bi_weekly +=1
if self.bi_weekly%2 == 0:
for stock in self.Portfolio.Values:
if stock.Invested:
symbol = stock.Symbol
shares_held = float(self.Portfolio[symbol].Quantity)
if (self.Securities[symbol].Price < self.moving_average(symbol,100) and shares_held >0) or (self.gapper(symbol,90) and shares_held>0):
self.Liquidate(symbol)
else:
if shares_held >0:
ATR = self.my_ATR(symbol,20)
cost_basis = float(self.Portfolio[symbol].AveragePrice)
shares_held = float(self.Portfolio[symbol].Quantity)
percent_of_p = ((cost_basis * shares_held )/ float(self.Portfolio.TotalPortfolioValue))
weight= self.weight(symbol,ATR)
diff_in_desired_weight = weight -percent_of_p
if diff_in_desired_weight < 0:
order_amount = shares_held * diff_in_desired_weight
self.MarketOrder(symbol,order_amount)
def GetHistory(self, security, period):
security_data = self.History([security],period,Resolution.Daily)
# check if candle has close component(assume others?)
if 'close' not in security_data.columns:
self.Log("History had no Close for %s"%security)
return None
# we need enough for the np.diff which removes 1 from length
if len(security_data.close.index) < period:
self.Log("Close test had too few or no values for %s with period %d"%(security, period))
return None
return security_data
def gapper(self,security,period):
if not self.Securities.ContainsKey(security):
return 0
security_data = self.GetHistory(security, period)
if security_data is None: return 0
close_data = security_data.close.values
return np.max(np.abs(np.diff(close_data))/close_data[:-1])>=0.15
def get_slope(self,security,period):
if not self.Securities.ContainsKey(security):
return 0
security_data = self.GetHistory(security, period)
if security_data is None: return 0
y = np.log(security_data.close.values)
x = np.arange(len(y))
slope, intercept, r_value, p_value, std_err = stats.linregress(x,y)
return ((np.exp(slope)**252)-1)*(r_value**2)
def my_ATR(self,security,period):
if not self.Securities.ContainsKey(security):
return 0
self.first+=1
security_data = self.GetHistory(security, period)
if security_data is None: return 0
c_data = security_data.close.values
l_data= security_data.low.values
h_data = security_data.high.values
true_range = h_data-l_data
average_true_range = np.mean(true_range)
average_true_range_smooted = ((average_true_range*13)+true_range[-1])/14
return average_true_range_smooted if not self.first else average_true_range
def weight(self,security,atr):
risk = float(self.Portfolio.TotalPortfolioValue)*0.0001
# prevent div by zero
if atr == 0.:
return 0.
return (((risk/atr) * float(self.Securities[security].Price))/float(self.Portfolio.TotalPortfolioValue)*100)
def moving_average(self,security,period):
if not self.Securities.ContainsKey(security):
return 0
security_data = self.GetHistory(security, period)
if security_data is None: return 0
return security_data.close.mean()