| Overall Statistics |
|
Total Trades 281 Average Win 0.53% Average Loss -0.17% Compounding Annual Return 5.983% Drawdown 2.300% Expectancy 1.163 Net Profit 31.154% Sharpe Ratio 2.084 Loss Rate 48% Win Rate 52% Profit-Loss Ratio 3.15 Alpha 0.062 Beta -0.188 Annual Standard Deviation 0.028 Annual Variance 0.001 Information Ratio 1.371 Tracking Error 0.028 Treynor Ratio -0.311 Total Fees $1210.76 |
namespace QuantConnect.Rotation
{
public class GlobalRotation : QCAlgorithm
{
// these are the growth symbols we'll rotate through
List<string> GrowthSymbols = new List<string>
{
"BSJJ", // US S&P mid cap 400
"HYD", // iShares S&P europe 350
"VMBS", // iShared MSCI emerging markets
"SRLN", // iShares S&P latin america
};
// these are the safety symbols we go to when things are looking bad for growth
List<string> SafetySymbols = new List<string>
{
"CASHX", // Vangaurd TSY 25yr+
// "SHY" // Barclays Low Duration TSY
};
// we'll hold some computed data in these guys
List<SymbolData> SymbolData = new List<SymbolData>();
public override void Initialize()
{
Schedule.On(DateRules.Every(DayOfWeek.Monday), TimeRules.At(9, 31), () =>
{
Log("Mon at 12pm: Fired at: " + Time);
});
SetCash(25000);
SetStartDate(2014, 1, 1);
SetEndDate(2018, 9, 1);
foreach (var symbol in GrowthSymbols.Union(SafetySymbols))
{
// ideally we would use daily data
AddSecurity(SecurityType.Equity, symbol, Resolution.Minute);
var oneMonthPerformance = MOM(symbol, 21, Resolution.Daily);
var threeMonthPerformance = MOM(symbol, 42, Resolution.Daily);
SymbolData.Add(new SymbolData
{
Symbol = symbol,
OneMonthPerformance = oneMonthPerformance,
ThreeMonthPerformance = threeMonthPerformance
});
}
}
public void OnData(TradeBars data)
{
// pick which one is best from growth and safety symbols
var orderedObjScores = SymbolData.OrderByDescending(x => x.ObjectiveScore).ToList();
foreach (var orderedObjScore in orderedObjScores)
{
Log(">>SCORE>>" + orderedObjScore.Symbol + ">>" + orderedObjScore.ObjectiveScore);
}
var bestGrowth = orderedObjScores.First();
if (bestGrowth.ObjectiveScore > 0)
{
if (Portfolio[bestGrowth.Symbol].Quantity == 0)
{
Log("PREBUY>>LIQUIDATE>>");
Liquidate();
}
Log(">>BUY>>" + bestGrowth.Symbol + "@" + (100 * bestGrowth.OneMonthPerformance).ToString("00.00"));
SetHoldings(bestGrowth.Symbol, 1.0);
}
else
{
// if no one has a good objective score then let's hold cash this month to be safe
Log(">>LIQUIDATE>>CASH");
Liquidate();
}
}
}
}
class SymbolData
{
public string Symbol;
public Momentum OneMonthPerformance { get; set; }
public Momentum ThreeMonthPerformance { get; set; }
public decimal ObjectiveScore
{
get
{
// we weight the one month performance higher
// decimal weight1 = 100;
// decimal weight2 = 75;
// return (weight1 * OneMonthPerformance + weight2 * ThreeMonthPerformance) / (weight1 + weight2);
// we weight the one month performance higher
decimal weight1 = 49;
decimal weight2 = 51;
return (weight1 * OneMonthPerformance + weight2 * ThreeMonthPerformance);
}
}
}