| Overall Statistics |
|
Total Orders 5 Average Win 7.96% Average Loss -11.25% Compounding Annual Return -1.575% Drawdown 38.300% Expectancy -0.146 Net Profit -28.652% Sharpe Ratio -0.631 Sortino Ratio -0.42 Probabilistic Sharpe Ratio 0.000% Loss Rate 50% Win Rate 50% Profit-Loss Ratio 0.71 Alpha -0.023 Beta -0.159 Annual Standard Deviation 0.047 Annual Variance 0.002 Information Ratio -0.385 Tracking Error 0.191 Treynor Ratio 0.188 Total Fees $12.64 Estimated Strategy Capacity $130000000.00 Lowest Capacity Asset SPY R735QTJ8XC9X Portfolio Turnover 0.03% |
#region imports
using System;
using System.Collections;
using System.Collections.Generic;
using System.Linq;
using System.Globalization;
using System.Drawing;
using QuantConnect;
using System.Text.RegularExpressions;
using QuantConnect.Algorithm.Framework;
using QuantConnect.Algorithm.Framework.Selection;
using QuantConnect.Algorithm.Framework.Alphas;
using QuantConnect.Algorithm.Framework.Portfolio;
using QuantConnect.Algorithm.Framework.Execution;
using QuantConnect.Algorithm.Framework.Risk;
using QuantConnect.Algorithm.Selection;
using QuantConnect.Parameters;
using QuantConnect.Benchmarks;
using QuantConnect.Brokerages;
using QuantConnect.Util;
using QuantConnect.Interfaces;
using QuantConnect.Algorithm;
using QuantConnect.Indicators;
using QuantConnect.Data;
using QuantConnect.Data.Consolidators;
using QuantConnect.Data.Custom;
using QuantConnect.DataSource;
using QuantConnect.Data.Fundamental;
using QuantConnect.Data.Market;
using QuantConnect.Data.UniverseSelection;
using QuantConnect.Notifications;
using QuantConnect.Orders;
using QuantConnect.Orders.Fees;
using QuantConnect.Orders.Fills;
using QuantConnect.Orders.Slippage;
using QuantConnect.Scheduling;
using QuantConnect.Securities;
using QuantConnect.Securities.Equity;
using QuantConnect.Securities.Future;
using QuantConnect.Securities.Option;
using QuantConnect.Securities.Forex;
using QuantConnect.Securities.Crypto;
using QuantConnect.Securities.Interfaces;
using QuantConnect.Storage;
using QCAlgorithmFramework = QuantConnect.Algorithm.QCAlgorithm;
using QCAlgorithmFrameworkBridge = QuantConnect.Algorithm.QCAlgorithm;
#endregion
using QuantConnect.DataSource;
namespace QuantConnect.Algorithm.CSharp.AltData
{
public class USTreasuryDataAlgorithm : QCAlgorithm
{
private Symbol _spySymbol;
private Symbol _yieldCurveSymbol;
private DateTime _lastInversion = DateTime.MinValue;
public override void Initialize()
{
SetStartDate(2000, 3, 1);
SetEndDate(2021, 6, 1);
SetCash(100000);
_spySymbol = AddEquity("SPY", Resolution.Hour).Symbol;
// Requestion data
_yieldCurveSymbol = AddData<USTreasuryYieldCurveRate>("USTYCR").Symbol;
// Historical data
var history = History<USTreasuryYieldCurveRate>(_yieldCurveSymbol, 60, Resolution.Daily);
Debug($"We got {history.Count()} items from our history request");
}
public override void OnData(Slice slice)
{
if (!slice.ContainsKey(_yieldCurveSymbol))
{
return;
}
// Preserve null values by getting the data with `slice.Get<T>`
// Accessing the data using `slice[_yieldCurveSymbol]` results in null
// values becoming `default(decimal)` which is equal to 0
var rates = slice.Get<USTreasuryYieldCurveRate>().Values.First();
// Check for null before using the values
if (!rates.TenYear.HasValue || !rates.TwoYear.HasValue)
{
return;
}
// Only advance if a year has gone by
if (Time - _lastInversion < TimeSpan.FromDays(365))
{
return;
}
// if there is a yield curve inversion after not having one for a year, short sell SPY for two years
if (!Portfolio.Invested && rates.TwoYear > rates.TenYear)
{
Debug($"{Time} - Yield curve inversion! Shorting the market for two years");
SetHoldings(_spySymbol, -0.5);
_lastInversion = Time;
return;
}
// If two years have passed, liquidate our position in SPY
if (Time - _lastInversion >= TimeSpan.FromDays(365 * 2))
{
Liquidate(_spySymbol);
}
}
}
}