| Overall Statistics |
|
Total Trades
386
Average Win
0.01%
Average Loss
0%
Compounding Annual Return
-70.133%
Drawdown
24.100%
Expectancy
0
Net Profit
-23.511%
Sharpe Ratio
-6.468
Probabilistic Sharpe Ratio
0.004%
Loss Rate
0%
Win Rate
100%
Profit-Loss Ratio
0
Alpha
-0.993
Beta
-0.012
Annual Standard Deviation
0.151
Annual Variance
0.023
Information Ratio
0.319
Tracking Error
0.51
Treynor Ratio
84.309
Total Fees
$8.92
|
import numpy as np
from scipy.optimize import minimize
sp100_stocks = ['AAPL','MSFT','AMZN','FB','BRKB','GOOGL','GOOG','JPM','JNJ','V','PG','XOM','UNH','BAC','MA','T','DIS','INTC','HD','VZ','MRK','PFE','CVX','KO','CMCSA','CSCO','PEP','WFC','C','BA','ADBE','WMT','CRM','MCD','MDT','BMY','ABT','NVDA','NFLX','AMGN','PM','PYPL','TMO','COST','ABBV','ACN','HON','NKE','UNP','UTX','NEE','IBM','TXN','AVGO','LLY','ORCL','LIN','SBUX','AMT','LMT','GE','MMM','DHR','QCOM','CVS','MO','LOW','FIS','AXP','BKNG','UPS','GILD','CHTR','CAT','MDLZ','GS','USB','CI','ANTM','BDX','TJX','ADP','TFC','CME','SPGI','COP','INTU','ISRG','CB','SO','D','FISV','PNC','DUK','SYK','ZTS','MS','RTN','AGN','BLK']
def Return(values):
return (values[-1] - values[0]) / values[0]
def Volatility(values):
values = np.array(values)
returns = (values[1:] - values[:-1]) / values[:-1]
return np.std(returns)
# Custom fee model
class CustomFeeModel(FeeModel):
def GetOrderFee(self, parameters):
fee = parameters.Security.Price * parameters.Order.AbsoluteQuantity * 0.00005
return OrderFee(CashAmount(fee, "USD"))
# Quandl free data
class QuandlFutures(PythonQuandl):
def __init__(self):
self.ValueColumnName = "settle"
# Quandl short interest data.
class QuandlFINRA_ShortVolume(PythonQuandl):
def __init__(self):
self.ValueColumnName = 'SHORTVOLUME' # also 'TOTALVOLUME' is accesible
# Quantpedia data
# NOTE: IMPORTANT: Data order must be ascending (datewise)
class QuantpediaFutures(PythonData):
def GetSource(self, config, date, isLiveMode):
return SubscriptionDataSource("data.quantpedia.com/backtesting_data/futures/{0}.csv".format(config.Symbol.Value), SubscriptionTransportMedium.RemoteFile, FileFormat.Csv)
def Reader(self, config, line, date, isLiveMode):
data = QuantpediaFutures()
data.Symbol = config.Symbol
if not line[0].isdigit(): return None
split = line.split(';')
data.Time = datetime.strptime(split[0], "%d.%m.%Y") + timedelta(days=1)
data['settle'] = float(split[1])
data.Value = float(split[1])
return data
# NOTE: Manager for new trades. It's represented by certain count of equally weighted brackets for long and short positions.
# If there's a place for new trade, it will be managed for time of holding period.
class TradeManager():
def __init__(self, algorithm, long_size, short_size, holding_period):
self.algorithm = algorithm # algorithm to execute orders in.
self.long_size = long_size
self.short_size = short_size
self.weight = 1 / (self.long_size + self.short_size)
self.long_len = 0
self.short_len = 0
# Arrays of ManagedSymbols
self.symbols = []
self.holding_period = holding_period # Days of holding.
# Add stock symbol object
def Add(self, symbol, long_flag):
# Open new long trade.
managed_symbol = ManagedSymbol(symbol, self.holding_period, long_flag)
if long_flag:
# If there's a place for it.
if self.long_len < self.long_size:
self.symbols.append(managed_symbol)
self.algorithm.SetHoldings(symbol, self.weight)
self.long_len += 1
# Open new short trade.
else:
# If there's a place for it.
if self.long_len < self.short_size:
self.symbols.append(managed_symbol)
self.algorithm.SetHoldings(symbol, - self.weight)
self.short_len += 1
# Decrement holding period and liquidate symbols.
def TryLiquidate(self):
symbols_to_delete = []
for managed_symbol in self.symbols:
managed_symbol.days_to_liquidate -= 1
# Liquidate.
if managed_symbol.days_to_liquidate == 0:
symbols_to_delete.append(managed_symbol)
self.algorithm.Liquidate(managed_symbol.symbol)
if managed_symbol.long_flag: self.long_len -= 1
else: self.short_len -= 1
# Remove symbols from management.
for managed_symbol in symbols_to_delete:
self.symbols.remove(managed_symbol)
class ManagedSymbol():
def __init__(self, symbol, days_to_liquidate, long_flag):
self.symbol = symbol
self.days_to_liquidate = days_to_liquidate
self.long_flag = long_flag
class PortfolioOptimization(object):
def __init__(self, df_return, risk_free_rate, num_assets):
self.daily_return = df_return
self.risk_free_rate = risk_free_rate
self.n = num_assets # numbers of risk assets in portfolio
self.target_vol = 0.05
def annual_port_return(self, weights):
# calculate the annual return of portfolio
return np.sum(self.daily_return.mean() * weights) * 252
def annual_port_vol(self, weights):
# calculate the annual volatility of portfolio
return np.sqrt(np.dot(weights.T, np.dot(self.daily_return.cov() * 252, weights)))
def min_func(self, weights):
# method 1: maximize sharp ratio
return - self.annual_port_return(weights) / self.annual_port_vol(weights)
# method 2: maximize the return with target volatility
#return - self.annual_port_return(weights) / self.target_vol
def opt_portfolio(self):
# maximize the sharpe ratio to find the optimal weights
cons = ({'type': 'eq', 'fun': lambda x: np.sum(x) - 1})
bnds = tuple((0, 1) for x in range(2)) + tuple((0, 0.25) for x in range(self.n - 2))
opt = minimize(self.min_func, # object function
np.array(self.n * [1. / self.n]), # initial value
method='SLSQP', # optimization method
bounds=bnds, # bounds for variables
constraints=cons) # constraint conditions
opt_weights = opt['x']
return opt_weights
import fk_tools
class Value(QCAlgorithm):
def Initialize(self):
self.SetStartDate(2019, 12, 31)
self.SetCash(100000)
self.symbol = 'SPY'
self.AddEquity(self.symbol, Resolution.Daily)
self.course_count = 1000
self.long = []
self.short = []
self.month = 12
self.selection_flag = False
self.rebalance_flag = False
self.UniverseSettings.Resolution = Resolution.Daily
self.AddUniverse(self.CoarseSelectionFunction, self.FineSelectionFunction)
self.Schedule.On(self.DateRules.MonthEnd(self.symbol), self.TimeRules.AfterMarketOpen(self.symbol), self.Selection)
def OnSecuritiesChanged(self, changes):
for security in changes.AddedSecurities:
security.SetFeeModel(fk_tools.CustomFeeModel(self))
security.SetLeverage(5)
def CoarseSelectionFunction(self, coarse):
if not self.selection_flag:
return Universe.Unchanged
self.selection_flag = False
selected = sorted([x for x in coarse if x.HasFundamentalData and x.Market == 'usa'],
key=lambda x: x.DollarVolume, reverse=True)
return [x.Symbol for x in selected[:self.course_count]]
def FineSelectionFunction(self, fine):
fine = [x for x in fine if x.ValuationRatios.PBRatio != 0]
sorted_by_pb = sorted(fine, key = lambda x:(x.ValuationRatios.PBRatio), reverse=False)
quintile = int(len(sorted_by_pb) / 5)
self.long = [i.Symbol for i in sorted_by_pb[:quintile]]
self.short = [i.Symbol for i in sorted_by_pb[-quintile:]]
self.rebalance_flag = True
return self.long + self.short
def OnData(self, data):
if not self.rebalance_flag:
return
self.rebalance_flag = False
# Trade execution
long_count = len(self.long)
short_count = len(self.short)
if long_count + short_count == 0:
self.Liquidate()
return
stocks_invested = [x.Key for x in self.Portfolio if x.Value.Invested]
for symbol in stocks_invested:
if symbol not in self.long + self.short:
self.Liquidate(symbol)
# Leveraged portfolio - 100% long, 100% short.
for symbol in self.long:
if self.Securities[symbol].Price != 0:
self.SetHoldings(symbol, 1 / long_count)
for symbol in self.short:
if self.Securities[symbol].Price != 0:
self.SetHoldings(symbol, -1 / short_count)
self.long.clear()
self.short.clear()
def Selection(self):
if self.month == 12:
self.selection_flag = True
self.month += 1
if self.month > 12:
self.month = 1