Overall Statistics
Total Trades
305
Average Win
0.34%
Average Loss
-0.02%
Compounding Annual Return
14.997%
Drawdown
68.800%
Expectancy
4.923
Net Profit
420.323%
Sharpe Ratio
0.515
Probabilistic Sharpe Ratio
1.659%
Loss Rate
74%
Win Rate
26%
Profit-Loss Ratio
21.47
Alpha
0.004
Beta
1.632
Annual Standard Deviation
0.289
Annual Variance
0.084
Information Ratio
0.319
Tracking Error
0.189
Treynor Ratio
0.091
Total Fees
$68.68
Estimated Strategy Capacity
$970000.00
Lowest Capacity Asset
LBTYB SZC2UFSQNK9X
# https://quantpedia.com/strategies/earnings-announcements-combined-with-stock-repurchases/
#
# The investment universe consists of stocks from NYSE/AMEX/Nasdaq (no ADRs, CEFs or REITs), bottom 25% of firms by market cap are dropped.
# Each quarter, the investor looks for companies that announce a stock repurchase program (with announced buyback for at least 5% of outstanding stocks) 
# during days -30 to -15 before the earnings announcement date for each company.
# Investor goes long stocks with announced buybacks during days -10 to +15 around an earnings announcement.
# The portfolio is equally weighted and rebalanced daily.
#
# QC Implementation:
#   - Universe consists of tickers, which have earnings annoucement.

#region imports
from AlgorithmImports import *
import numpy as np
#endregion

class EarningsAnnouncementsCombinedWithStockRepurchases(QCAlgorithm):

    def Initialize(self):
        self.SetStartDate(2011, 1, 1) # Buyback data strats at 2011
        self.SetCash(100000) 
        
        self.fine = {}
        self.price = {}
        self.managed_symbols = []
        self.earnings_universe = []
        
        self.earnings = {}
        self.buybacks = {}
        
        self.max_traded_stocks = 40 # maximum number of trading stocks
        self.quantile = 4
        
        self.symbol = self.AddEquity("SPY", Resolution.Daily).Symbol
        
        # load earnings dates
        csv_data = self.Download('data.quantpedia.com/backtesting_data/economic/earning_dates.csv')
        lines = csv_data.split('\r\n')
        
        for line in lines:
            line_split = line.split(';')
            date = line_split[0]
            
            if date == '' :
                continue
            
            date = datetime.strptime(date, "%Y-%m-%d").date()
            self.earnings[date] = []
            
            for ticker in line_split[1:]: # skip date in current line
                self.earnings[date].append(ticker)
                
                if ticker not in self.earnings_universe:
                    self.earnings_universe.append(ticker)
        
        # load buyback dates
        csv_data = self.Download('data.quantpedia.com/backtesting_data/equity/BUY_BACKS.csv')
        lines = csv_data.split('\r\n')
        
        for line in lines[1:]: # skip header
            line_split = line.split(';')
            date = line_split[0]
            
            if date == '' :
                continue
            
            date = datetime.strptime(date, "%d.%m.%Y").date()
            self.buybacks[date] = []
            
            for ticker in line_split[1:]: # skip date in current line
                self.buybacks[date].append(ticker)
        
        self.months_counter = 0
        self.selection_flag = False
        self.UniverseSettings.Resolution = Resolution.Daily
        self.AddUniverse(self.CoarseSelectionFunction, self.FineSelectionFunction)
        self.Schedule.On(self.DateRules.MonthStart(self.symbol), self.TimeRules.AfterMarketOpen(self.symbol), self.Selection)
        
    def OnSecuritiesChanged(self, changes):
        for security in changes.AddedSecurities:
            security.SetFeeModel(CustomFeeModel())
            security.SetLeverage(5)
            
    def CoarseSelectionFunction(self, coarse):
        # update stocks last prices
        for stock in coarse:
            ticker = stock.Symbol.Value
            
            if ticker in self.earnings_universe:
                # store stock's last price
                self.price[ticker] = stock.AdjustedPrice
        
        # rebalance quarterly
        if not self.selection_flag:
            return Universe.Unchanged
        self.selection_flag = False
        
        # select stocks, which had spin off
        selected = [x.Symbol for x in coarse if x.Symbol.Value in self.earnings_universe]

        return selected
        
    def FineSelectionFunction(self, fine):
        fine = [x for x in fine if x.MarketCap != 0 and 
                                    ((x.SecurityReference.ExchangeId == "NYS") or
                                    (x.SecurityReference.ExchangeId == "NAS") or 
                                    (x.SecurityReference.ExchangeId == "ASE"))]
        
        if len(fine) < self.quantile:
            return Universe.Unchanged
        
        # exclude 25% stocks with lowest market capitalization
        quantile = int(len(fine) / self.quantile)
        sorted_by_market_cap = sorted(fine, key = lambda x: x.MarketCap)
        selected = sorted_by_market_cap[quantile:]
        self.fine = {x.Symbol.Value : x.Symbol for x in selected}
        
        return list(self.fine.values())

    def OnData(self, data:Slice) -> None:
        remove_managed_symbols = []
        # maybe there should be BDay(15)
        liquidate_date = self.Time.date() - timedelta(15)
        
        # check if bought stocks have 15 days after earnings annoucemnet
        for managed_symbol in self.managed_symbols:
            if managed_symbol.earnings_date >= liquidate_date:
                remove_managed_symbols.append(managed_symbol)
                
                # liquidate stock by selling it's quantity
                self.MarketOrder(managed_symbol.symbol, -managed_symbol.quantity)
                
        # remove liquidated stocks from self.managed_symbols
        for managed_symbol in remove_managed_symbols:
            self.managed_symbols.remove(managed_symbol)
        
        # maybe there should be BDay(10)
        after_current = self.Time.date() + timedelta(10)
        
        if after_current in self.earnings:
            # this stocks has earnings annoucement after 10 days
            stocks_with_earnings = self.earnings[after_current]
            
            # 30 days before earnings annoucement
            buyback_start = self.Time.date() - timedelta(20)
            # 15 days before earnings annoucement
            buyback_end = self.Time.date() - timedelta(5)
            
            stocks_with_buyback = [] # storing stocks with buyback in period -30 to -15 days before earnings annoucement
            
            for buyback_date, tickers in self.buybacks.items():
                # check if buyback date is in period before earnings annoucement
                if buyback_date >= buyback_start and buyback_date <= buyback_end:
                    # iterate through each stock ticker for buyback date
                    for ticker in tickers:
                        # add stock ticker if it isn't already added, it has earnings annoucement after 10 days and was selected in fine
                        if (ticker not in stocks_with_buyback) and (ticker in stocks_with_earnings) and (ticker in self.fine):
                            stocks_with_buyback.append(self.fine[ticker])
                            
            # buying stocks buyback in period -30 to -15 days before earnings annoucement
            # and stocks, which have earnings date -10 days before current date
            for symbol in stocks_with_buyback:
                # check if there is a place in Portfolio for trading current stock
                if not len(self.managed_symbols) < self.max_traded_stocks:
                    continue
                
                # calculate stock quantity
                weight = self.Portfolio.TotalPortfolioValue / self.max_traded_stocks
                quantity = np.floor(weight / self.price[symbol.Value])
                
                # go long stock
                self.MarketOrder(symbol, quantity)
                
                # store stock's ticker, earnings date and traded quantity
                if symbol in data and data[symbol]:
                    self.managed_symbols.append(ManagedSymbol(symbol, after_current, quantity))
        
    def Selection(self):
        # quarterly selection
        if self.months_counter % 3 == 0:
            self.selection_flag = True
        self.months_counter += 1
        
class ManagedSymbol():
    def __init__(self, symbol, earnings_date, quantity):
        self.symbol = symbol
        self.earnings_date = earnings_date
        self.quantity = quantity
        
# custom fee model
class CustomFeeModel(FeeModel):
    def GetOrderFee(self, parameters):
        fee = parameters.Security.Price * parameters.Order.AbsoluteQuantity * 0.00005
        return OrderFee(CashAmount(fee, "USD"))