Continuing on from Vladimir 's great work on Intersection of ROC comparison using OUT_DAY approach

Here is my reductionist version:

  • Trades only SPY
  • Exposure either 0 or 1
  • Views hourly history
  • Trades 4 hourly.
  • No wait days (reduced to just one variable: VOLA)
  • Max DD: 35.5% (SPY for same period: >50%)
  • CAGR: 17.374% (SPY for same period: 7.05%)
  • BETA: 0.513 (Only spends 50% of time in the market)