Title: Exploring Intraday Bitcoin Trading Strategies – Regime Filters, PKL Development, and Community Insights
Hi everyone,
We are currently developing a trading system focused on intraday Bitcoin trading, and I’d like to open a discussion around strategies, lessons learned, and community experiences.
So far, we’ve been working on building a structured historical dataset (PKL) for BTC that allows us to map intraday behavior and test different approaches. One of the main areas we are exploring is the use of regime filters to adapt the strategy to different market conditions – for example, detecting when the market is trending, consolidating, or experiencing high volatility spikes.
I’d love to hear from others who have tried to build intraday systems for Bitcoin (or other crypto futures) on QuantConnect:
- Have you had success with regime-switching models (e.g., volatility filters, ADX, HMM, etc.)?
- How do you deal with the fact that some strategies seem to only work well in specific historical windows (e.g., a strong bull run vs. post-2021 sideways periods)?
- Has anyone implemented momentum vs. mean-reversion toggles depending on detected conditions?
Our ultimate goal is to evolve towards a robust intraday framework that doesn’t just rely on one skeleton strategy (like a stop-hunt reversal) but can adapt to different regimes.If anyone has experience, suggestions, or even cautionary tales about intraday BTC strategies, it would be great to exchange ideas. Also curious if anyone has taken a similar path with PKL-based historical structures for training/testing.
Looking forward to your insights!
— Eduardo
Mia Alissi
Here's a robust QuantConnect QCAlgorithm template for you, Eduardo. This example covers the key aspects you mentioned and is designed for learning and for future expansion:
Key Features:
Feel free to ask for more specific implementations (such as more advanced regime detectors, custom backtesting analyzers, etc.) or join the discussion with your own improvements and insights!
Sources: Research Guide - QuantConnect.com, Key Concepts - QuantConnect.com, Hidden Markov Models - QuantConnect.com, Overview - QuantConnect.com, docs writing algorithms indicators automatic indicators
The material on this website is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell, a solicitation to buy, or a recommendation or endorsement for any security or strategy, nor does it constitute an offer to provide investment advisory services by QuantConnect. In addition, the material offers no opinion with respect to the suitability of any security or specific investment. QuantConnect makes no guarantees as to the accuracy or completeness of the views expressed in the website. The views are subject to change, and may have become unreliable for various reasons, including changes in market conditions or economic circumstances. All investments involve risk, including loss of principal. You should consult with an investment professional before making any investment decisions.
Eduardo Angelim
The material on this website is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell, a solicitation to buy, or a recommendation or endorsement for any security or strategy, nor does it constitute an offer to provide investment advisory services by QuantConnect. In addition, the material offers no opinion with respect to the suitability of any security or specific investment. QuantConnect makes no guarantees as to the accuracy or completeness of the views expressed in the website. The views are subject to change, and may have become unreliable for various reasons, including changes in market conditions or economic circumstances. All investments involve risk, including loss of principal. You should consult with an investment professional before making any investment decisions.
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